As bills fail in Congress, Presidential candidates make policy promises, and families mourn losses, it’s about time that we look at the cold hard facts surrounding the gun epidemic in this country. Let’s break down this whole gun ordeal, in the wake of all of the emotional appeals being made after the mass shooting in Orlando and the battles being fought in Washington.
(1) Doesn’t the Constitution, specifically the 2nd amendment, give me the right to own a gun?
“A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed.”
Maybe I’m missing something, but I don’t see anything in that verbiage specifying that citizens of the United States can own any type of weapon they want at any time no matter what. Further, the word “infringe” means (yes, I’m referring to dictionary.com) “to commit a breach of”, and, for those of us wanting further clarity, “breach” is “the act of breaking.” This implies that the 2nd Amendment tells us the government cannot break our right to bear arms. It does not, however, imply that the government cannot regulate that right- bend it, you could say. In fact, note the first words of the amendment: “well regulated”.
Justice Scalia wrote in 2008 that, “just as the First Amendment protects modern forms of communications, e.g., Reno v. American Civil Liberties Union (1997), and the Fourth Amendment applies to modern forms of search, e.g., Kyllo v. United States (2001), the Second Amendment extends, prima facie, to all instruments that constitute bearable arms, even those that were not in existence at the time of the founding.” Unfortunately, his logic is flawed. The other two amendments exhibit expansion of applicability because their expansion serves to provide further protection of citizens as increased threats or security breaches have arisen. The 2nd amendment’s expansion to protecting all sorts of automatic war-grade weapons, however, does the opposite; allowing for the ownership of those weapons creates a larger threat to citizens than the one against which it would be protecting.
All of that aside, it is potentially even more important to note that this sentence that is so cherished by proponents of gun rights was written almost 230 years ago. Our founding fathers could not have fathomed a world in which the weapons that exist today were not only in existence but accessible to the masses. To assume that it is rational, advisable, or moral to insist upon the enforcement of an antiquated sentence at the expense of human lives is rather nonsensical. Remember, the US Constitution, while one of the great feats of human history, was born into an era that tolerated atrocities like slavery, sexism, and classism; it is not absurd to question the applicability of the logic used in creating this document to today’s modern society- a society in which, I’m hoping, we place a higher value on each human life.
(2) Aren’t I safer if I have a gun and can protect myself?
Contrary to popular American belief, the possession of a gun does not usually make a citizen safer. As articulated in The Guardian, having a gun simply increases the chances that a gun is used. For instance, the possession of a weapon may entice the owner to enter more dangerous situations due to a false sense of protection and over-confidence. There is also a greater chance that, even if the attacker was unarmed, the gun could be turned and used on the victim. Setting aside purely rhetorical arguments and looking at hard data, Professor Branas of UPenn reports a couple of key findings:
- “those with firearms were about 4.5 times more likely to be shot than those who did not carry”
- “for individuals who had time to resist and counter in a gun assault, the odds of actually being shot actually increased to 5.45 fold relative to an individual not carrying”
Psychologists Jessica Witt and James Brockmole add that gun possession creates a kind of paranoia, and owners begin to suspect others of carrying weapons as well. This assumption can, unfortunately, breed violence and overreaction.
To summarize the claim made by Australian Jim Jefferies, the “protection in one’s home” argument is not logically sound. On one hand, abiding by safety protocol and law, a gun should be disassembled, locked away, and out of reach. On the other, it can only be of use in the case of an imminent, dangerous threat if you constantly have it at the ready. The first scenario attempts to protect from accidents, while the second allows the weapon to serve as protection from external enemies. Unfortunately, they cannot exist in harmony. Either, your gun is too safely locked away to be of any practical use, or it is accessible and also extraordinarily dangerous and accident-prone.
Whether you look at the logic or at the data, you’ll find that using guns as a means for safety and protection is a flawed tactic. If it is safety that we want, we should look to eliminate the threat posed by the weapons that have already stripped so many of their lives, futures, and families.
(3) Is there actually a correlation between gun control and the number of homicides?
Dr. Bisakha Sen found in a 2012 study that “in general, states that require more comprehensive background checks before gun purchases also have fewer homicide and suicide deaths by firearm.” The results specify that states with specific requirements in background checks for factors such as mental illnesses or restraining orders, there is a correlated 7% decrease in homicides and 2% decrease in suicides. “Also, firearm homicide deaths are 13 percent lower when states have checks for restraining orders and 21 percent lower when fugitive status is checked.”
Further, assault weapons, while deadlier than other guns, are also more likely to be put to use. The Brady Center finds “assault weapons were 20 times more likely than conventional firearms to be used in crime,” when compared proportionately with their numbers in circulation.
The Guardian and the Council on Foreign Relations tell us two important things:
- The US, home to less than 5% of the global population, has somewhere from 35-50% of the world’s civilian-owned guns, making it the country with the highest number of firearms per capita.
- The United States’ gun homicide rate is 25 times higher than other high-income countries, the highest firearm homicide rate of all developed countries.
This should tell us something.
(4) Does “gun control” mean that none of us can own any guns?
While I’m tempted to argue that perhaps it should mean that or that perhaps none of us needs any guns, no, it doesn’t mean that at all! Gun control can range from comprehensive background checks to banning specific types of weapons.
(5) If someone plans to commit suicide, won’t they just use other means if they don’t have a gun?
First, let’s look at the magnitude of suicides in the US. Suicide is the 10th-leading cause of death. “In 2010, 38,364 people killed themselves.” Ok, so it’s a really big deal.
Now, let’s look at the factors behind these numbers. In over half of these cases, firearms were used. This means that firearms are used more frequently when people kill themselves than all other means (hanging, overdose, etc.) put together. There is a really critical distinction to make here: guns are not the most common tool in suicide attempts, but they are the most common tool in suicide deaths. This is because a suicide attempt by a gun is almost always fatal. The Harvard Public Health Magazine finds “about 85 percent of suicide attempts with a firearm end in death. (Drug overdose, the most widely used method in suicide attempts, is fatal in less than 3 percent of cases.)” Whereas an overdose or cutting allow time for the individual to reconsider their actions or get help, a gun shot is irreversible.
A 2008 study by Miller and David Hemenway, author of the book Private Guns, Public Health, found “rates of firearm suicides in states with the highest rates of gun ownership are 3.7 times higher for men and 7.9 times higher for women, compared with states with the lowest gun ownership—though the rates of non-firearm suicides are about the same.” Skepticism about these facts is understandable, but the logic holds true even when extraneous factors are accounted for. For example, a smaller proportion of gun owners report having attempted suicide compared to non-owners, indicating that it is not an intrinsic higher probability to be suicidal that is impacting the data but, in fact, a pure probability that when suicidal tendencies exist they are more likely to result in fatality in the presence of a weapon.
If you’re still not convinced, just Google “do guns impact suicides”, and I promise you’ll find plenty of reading for your free time.
(6) If gun control laws are put in place, won’t criminals still be able to get them illegally?
Even if that’s true, the compilation of two other components of the logic behind gun control outweigh this argument: first, the decrease in suicides alone would be enough to justify gun control; second, the lack of evidence for self-defense and homicide protection indicates that even if criminals can access these illegal guns, citizens are no worse off than they were before. This draws the conclusion that, on net, gun control is beneficial for American citizens even if this specific argument is conceded.
Now, in an attempt to debunk this argument, it is first important to look at some real-world examples. In a moment I’ll examine how gun control has played out in other countries. The international successes of gun controls indicate the insignificance of “black market” guns sales or this “criminals don’t abide by laws” mindset.
Much of the proposed legislation also deals with this notion directly, attempting to eliminate this under-the-table market. Enforcing background checks, requiring registrations, closing gun show loopholes, it all aims to regulate and track the gun market.
(7) What if I just want to use my gun for hunting?
I don’t quite understand the appeal or necessity of hunting, but that doesn’t mean that there isn’t a valid argument to be made here. Fortunately, gun reform and control does not mean that you can’t have access to them at all. If you are able to abide by the newly established processes and store/use your gun safely, there is no reason that hunting cannot continue. Moreover, the types of weapons that are most concerning to the safety of the masses, such as automatic weapons, are completely unnecessary for any hunting activities in which you might want to partake.
In fact, The Economist explains, “no hunter, and nobody interested purely in self-defence, needs a semi-automatic rifle with a 100-round magazine.” Mitt Romney adds that assault weapons “are not made for recreation or self-defense. They are instruments of destruction with the sole purpose of hunting down and killing people.”
(8) Wasn’t the 1994 Assault Weapons Ban a huge failure? Why would we do that again?
Some argue that the Assault Weapons Ban failed, and this argument exhibits some validity due to the inadequate legislation and enforcement. The reasons why the previous ban was insufficient are not the same reasons we should use to dispute future gun control.
First, the ban didn’t address all of the right weapons. Clark Wholfred of NYU writes, “it failed to prohibit particularly dangerous weapons, because the firearms encompassed in the statute’s definition of assault weapons were not uniquely lethal compared to weapons that remained legal under the ban.”
Second, the law was too easily circumvented. The abundance of loopholes allowed gunmakers to continue the production and sale of the exact weapons that were intended to be banned. In some cases, all it took was a simple design change (with little to no impact on the gun’s functionality) and a new name to legalize the production of a weapon under the ban’s new requirements.
These shortcomings in legislation can deem the Assault Weapons Ban somewhat of a failure. Fortunately, this analysis simply indicates that any future gun control should be more comprehensive. Further, there is also evidence of the Ban’s successes, which we can hope to emulate.
On the other hand, the decline observed in the percentage of assault weapon crimes is still significant even if you include the “copy cat” guns that fell through the loophole in the legislation, according to the study in 2004 by the Brady Center and data analysis conducted by former ATF agents. Before the ban, assault weapons (including these copy cats) made up 5.7% of crime traces; after the ban, this group of guns has been 3.1% of traces, showing a 45% decline. This all means that even though copy cat weapons may allow criminals to side-step the ban in some cases, “this substitution effect is far from complete”, rendering the ban at least a partial, and definitely a substantial, success.
Moreover, a 2008 report by the Brady Center explains that without the ban, “it was estimated that approximately 60,000 more of the banned assault weapons would have been traced to crime in the 10 years the law was in effect.” The efficacy of the ban is solidified further by the fact that assault weapon violence spiked once the legislation expired. The Brady Center confirmed that “law enforcement agencies throughout the United States have reported an upward trend in assault weapons violence” since the ban’s expiration.
(9) Have gun laws worked in other countries?
Let’s look at a couple of examples, and I’ll try to stick to developed nations with governments comparable enough to ours and with somewhat diverse populations.
In Australia, the National Agreement on Firearms “all but prohibited automatic and semiautomatic assault rifles, stiffened licensing and ownership rules, and instituted a temporary gun buyback program that took some 650,000 assault weapons (about one-sixth of the national stock) out of public circulation.” It is widely acknowledged that these measures have been very effective, resulting in a steep decline in gun deaths and a complete lack of mass shootings since 1996.
In the UK, the incremental tightening of gun controls, dealing with guns from assault weapons to handguns, has shown tangible results. Since the early 2000s, gun violence in England and Wales has plummeted, as evidenced by The Guardian. This is not to say that there weren’t struggles, such as dealing with the hundreds of thousands of suddenly illegal handguns in circulation. Moreover, those who used the guns for sport continue to show contempt and fight the regulations.
Not as comparable to the US demographically, Japan exhibits some of the toughest guns laws around. Unironically, they also report the fewest gun deaths. Blame this correlation on their lack of diversity and racial conflict or their general level of wealth, the correlation still exists. I’d like to argue that even if the unique challenges faced in the US (such as that diversity or income inequality) exist, any decrease in gun violence and any lives saved is worth action. Perhaps those extraneous factors will prevent our legislation from being quite as effective as Japan’s, but if it can eliminate even one Orlando, a Sandyhook or two, isn’t that enough?
(10) Doesn’t the majority of Americans want to retain their right to bear arms?
While data from September 2015 indicates that Americans are split almost evenly between supporting and opposing stricter gun control laws, the same study found that over 90% of those polled support background checks for all gun buyers. This study was conducted before the horrific events of 2016, including the Orlando shooting, so it can only be assumed that the numbers have changed. However, even enforcing universal background checks would be a step in the right direction and may eliminate the ability for dangerous actors to easily access these weapons. The bills that just failed in Congress, despite the filibuster and sit-in, included provisions like prohibiting people on the FBI watch list from having access to guns. Realistically, even if you want to own 100 guns, there is absolutely no reason that you should want people on the watch list to have access to guns, especially the dangerous weapons available in the US today. The counterargument to this provision articulates the flaws in the watch-list, and, to this, I propose we fix the list, refine our process, but not let these mendable flaws disable the protection of our people.
For the Constitution buffs and liberty defenders out there, I propose one notion: the right to life supersedes the right to carry. Let’s guarantee our people the first before we dispute the intricacies of the second.
If you’re still unsure or just curious, go to my Food for Thought page and watch the Vox video explaining America’s gun violence. I also encourage you to Google away and soak up as much (hopefully quality) information as you can to help you make informed decisions in November and everyday.
sources: 2nd Amendment; Washington Post- Why The Gun Debate Won’t Change After the Oregon Shooting; CFR: US Gun Policy- Global Comparisons; “DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ET AL. v. HELLER.” SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES. Oct Term, 2007. 26 June 2008.; Bishaka Sen 2012 Study; The Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Impact of the 1994 Federal Assault Weapon Ban”, March 2004.; “America’s gun laws: Colorado’s dark night.” The Economist. 28 July 2012.; Mitt Romney Interview May 2012; Clark A. Wohlferd [NYU] 2005; “Assault Weapons FAQ.” Coalition to Stop Gun Violence. 2011.; Brady Center- “Mass Produced Mayhem” 2008.; Harvard Public Health Magazine; The Guardian- So America, This Is How Other Countries Do Gun Control; The Guardian- Guns Don’t Offer Protection; Branas of UPenn: Link Between Gun Possession and Gun Assault; Witt and Brockmole: Wielding a Gun Increases the Bias to See Guns